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Market information: Trump's nominee for finance minister, Bertrand Besson, said that Federal Reserve Chairman Powell can complete his remaining term.The "Debt Bull" was launched, and a number of treasury bonds futures reached new highs. According to the analysis, the downward trend of broad-spectrum interest rates is expected to continue to support the bull market in the bond market. On December 10, 30-year, 10-year, 5-year and 2-year treasury bonds futures all hit record highs. Looking at it for a long time, since the beginning of this year, 30-year treasury bond futures have risen by nearly 16%, 10-year treasury bond futures have risen by over 5%, and 5-year treasury bond futures have risen by over 3%. Analysts pointed out that the logic of broad-spectrum interest rate downward has run through the whole year of 2024, and it is expected to continue to form an important support for the bond market in the long run. The recent market strength is not only an emotional effect at the end of the year and the beginning of the year, but also a blocking point to dredge and guide the overall downward trend of interest rates. Shen Wanhongyuan believes that in the short term, profit-taking behavior may increase after the low interest rate, but this is not the core factor that dominates the market. Shen Wanhongyuan said that the rate cut of policy interest rate in 2025 may not be less than 30 basis points. After the deployment of relevant important meetings at the end of the year, specific policies may be gradually implemented in the first quarter of next year. According to Huaxi Securities, looking forward to 2025, the rate of single RRR cut and interest rate cut of monetary policy may not be less than 50 basis points and 20 basis points (the rate in 2024). (Securities Times)CF40 Research: Three Channels to Expand Domestic Demand. An article published by Guan Wei of China Financial Forty Forum (CF40) pointed out that the expansion of total demand, whether it is to expand consumption or investment demand, should be implemented on credit growth. When credit goes up, residents, enterprises and governments have more money in their pockets, so do expenditures and incomes, as well as profits and investments. At present, there are three main ways to expand credit: first, fiscal policy is exerted and the government borrows money; Second, the monetary policy will exert its strength and reduce the policy interest rate; The third is to stabilize the real estate market, and there can be no further sharp decline. In terms of finance, maintain the intensity of fiscal expenditure in a broad sense, and moderately increase the fiscal deficit to 4% in 2025. In terms of monetary policy, we should take reducing the real interest rate as an important goal, continue to implement "strong interest rate reduction", and timely reduce the interest rate of structural monetary policy tools below the policy interest rate level. In terms of the property market, it will ease the current cash flow pressure faced by real estate enterprises and promote the real estate to stop falling and stabilize from both ends of supply and demand.

The rapid rise of long-term debt reflects the hot sentiment in the bond market. On December 10th, the transaction interest rate of the 10-year active bond "240011" further dropped to 1.84%, hitting a record low. By the close of the day, treasury bonds futures rose across the board, and the main contract of representative 10-year treasury bonds futures hit a record high. Experts said that the loose expectation of monetary policy and the strong demand for institutional allocation constitute an important supporting factor for the recent bond market to continue to go bullish. But at the same time, as bond prices rise and yields fall, market volatility may also rise. (CSI)Market information: US President Biden seeks to veto once and for all the merger of Nippon Steel (Nippon Steel) and American Steel Company (X).The three major European stock indexes closed down across the board. The German DAX index fell 0.08% to 20329.16 points, the French CAC40 index fell 1.14% to 7394.78 points, and the British FTSE 100 index fell 0.86% to 8280.36 points.

The three major US stock indexes collectively closed down, Google rose more than 5%, and the three major US stock indexes collectively closed down, with the Dow down 0.35%, the Nasdaq down 0.25%, and the S&P 500 index down 0.30%. Chinese stocks fell collectively, with the China ETF falling nearly 13% when it tripled its wealth, and the Nasdaq China Jinlong Index falling more than 4%. Chip stocks generally fell, Micron Technology fell nearly 5%, Broadcom and TSMC fell nearly 4%, Intel fell more than 3%, and NVIDIA and Qualcomm fell nearly 3%. Oracle Bone Inscriptions fell by 6.68%, and its revenue in the second quarter and performance guidance in this quarter fell short of expectations. Google rose by 5.59%, and the company launched the latest quantum chip "Willow" to achieve a major technological breakthrough.Today's key financial news reminds us (the following are all Beijing time) that ① the total amount of M2 money supply, new RMB loans and financing in China in November may be released; ② At 15: 00, Andrew Hauser, Assistant Chairman of Reserve Bank of Australia, gave a speech at ABE Annual Banquet; ③ Time to be determined: OPEC publishes monthly crude oil market report; 4 21: 30 US CPI； in November; ⑤ At 22: 45, the Bank of Canada issued a policy interest rate; ⑥ At 23: 30, us energy information administration (EIA) released the weekly report of government crude oil inventory; 7. The next day at 03:00, the U.S. government budget for November; (8) Adobe released a performance report after the US stock market closed; 9 At 05:30 the next day, the Brazilian central bank announced the Selic policy interest rate; Attending the speech of Assistant Chairman Jones of Reserve Bank of Australia at 06:15 the next day.Hezbollah in Lebanon said that it hoped that Syria would firmly resist Israel. Hezbollah in Lebanon issued a statement on the 10th local time, strongly condemning the continued invasion of Syrian territory by Israeli troops and destroying Syria's military combat capability, calling it a dangerous aggression. The statement pointed out that the UN Security Council, the international community and Arab countries have the responsibility to oppose and stop these Israeli actions and protect the Syrian people at this sensitive and crucial historical moment. Hezbollah in Lebanon also expressed its hope to see Syria stabilize, resolutely resist Israel and prevent foreign interference. (CCTV)